Compare the season win totals & strength of schedule rankings for all 32 teams heading into the 2018 season
The Texans not only get JJ Watt and Deshaun Watson back from injury, but Houston also has the easiest schedule out of all 32 teams. The Green Bay Packers have the worst.
Six of Houston’s 16 games this season come against teams that won five or fewer games in 2017. On paper, The Packers have the most challenging schedule. Fans of the Bucs, Ravens & Saints will disagree as all three will play eight games against opponents that made the playoffs in 2017.
This week marks the return of NFL football. The 2018 Hall of Fame game featuring the Chicago Bears and Baltimore Ravens kicks off 27 straight weeks of football. A week later on Thursday, August 9th you can bet on twelve more NFL Preseason Week 1 games followed by a pair of games on Friday and Saturday each.
NFL proposition bets are a fun way to kick-off the football season. What are NFL prop bets? Football prop bets allow you to bet on markets that are not directly related to the game’s final score. Click here for live NFL prop odds.
At 5Dimes we are proud to have the MOST NFL prop betting markets. See for yourself!
The 2018 College Football season kicks off on August 25th with a handful of games. A week later on September 1st, the NCAA will blow the roof off the nation with a full slate of college football games to bet on. Now let’s take a closer look at all the Week 1 College Football betting spreads and game totals.
AP’s Defensive Rookie of the Year award doesn’t have the flash of its offensive counterpart. But you can still cash in big by making the smart bet on the right pick. Now let’s take a closer look at 5Dimes’ AP Defensive ROY odds and a few picks that should be on your watch list.
2018 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds & Picks
Bradley Chubb +375
Roquan Smith +530
Tremaine Edmunds +900
Minkah Fitzpatrick +1200
Denzel Ward +1200
Derwin James +1200
Leighton Vander Esch +1450
Harold Landry +1600
Rashaan Evans +1600
Jaire Alexander +1625
The 5Dimes Oddsmakers Top Picks To Win Defensive Rookie Of The Year
Bradley Chubb, EDGE, Broncos +375
Bradley Chubb was the top prospect in the 2018 NFL Draft but dropped to fifth to the chagrin of the Broncos. He sits at 6-4, 269 pounds and had 20 1/2 sacks in his final two college seasons. A sturdy frame, great hand work, and impressive speed will keep Chubb on the field for run plays as well as passing downs. He will light up the stat sheet from Week 1.
Roquan Smith, LB, Bears +530
Roquan Smith has 4.51 speed, psychic level anticipation, and light speed play recognition ability. Everything a Bears linebacker needs.
The bad news? The 8th-overall pick in April’s NFL Draft has yet to sign with the team. His natural talent and polished skill will make him a quick study if and when he reports to camp.
2018 NFL Defensive Rookie Of The Year Smart Picks
Derwin James, S, Chargers +1200
Derwin James was drafted by the Chargers to shore up the middle of the field. He will join Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram who are one of the leagues top outside pass-rushing duo.
While Bosa and Ingram attack from either side, opposing QBs will either have to take the sack or throw the quick pass across the middle also known as the Derwin zone.
Jaire Alexander, CB, Packers +1625
Jaire Alexander is built like Odell Beckham Jr, but faster. The Green Bay rookie ran a 4.38 forty. Beckham 4.43. He is physically gifted and tenacious. But Alexander’s vertical was a full 3.5 inches shorter than the Giants super star. The lone shortcoming is most likely why he plays corner and not wideout.
“Who’s a comparably athletic player to Louisville CB Jaire Alexander?”
Why did the Saints reach for Marcus Davenport as the 14th pick overall in the 2018 NFL Draft?
He is immensely powerful and deceptively fast. There’s so much like to like about his game. New Orleans’ 2017 draft class was one for the ages and adding Davenport will make this team better once he acclimates to the speed and strength of NFL offensive tackles after tossing blockers around like rag dolls in college.
2018 NFL Defensive Rookie Of The Year Longshot Picks
Minkah Fitzpatrick, S, Dolphins +1200
The Alabama safety was drafted 11th overall for his range, versatilely and top-flight speed. His long body and sticky hands allow him to match up against athletic tight ends and slot receivers. Fitzpatrick can blitz, chase down a runner and will be a leader in the locker room.
Why is he a long shot to win Defensive ROY honors? Fitzpatrick will play behind established defensive stalwarts in Xavien Howard, Reshad Jones, Cordrea Tankersley and T.J. McDonald.
Maurice Hurst, DT, Raiders +5000
Maurice Hurst’s dropped to the fifth round where Oakland drafted him at 140th overall. Concerns of heart irregularities on an EKG test performed at the NFL combine trumped his top-10 talent.
Khalil Mack and Bruce Irving will cover the edge leaving Hurst free to fill the gaps and rush up the middle. His ability to come out fast and low should create opportunities to become a disruptive penetrator pushing opposing QBs out of the box into his edge rushing compatriots.
The Complete Odds To Win The 2018 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year
If you need an edge on your 2018 NFL betting strategy, use my NFL quarterback betting analytics to gain an advantage. Every current NFL starting QB will be ranked based on how well and often they pay out against the NFL betting spread.
NFL QB Betting Analytics Entering The 2018 Season
Must Bet Elite ATS NFL QBs:
Tom Brady, New England Patriots, 150-95-6 ATS record
The 🐐 covers the betting spread 59.8% of the time. You might be thinking that the Pats are almost always favorites when Tom Brady starts. Think again, Brady is far more deadly in the rare occasions when the Patriots are underdogs. Brady and company are 33-13-1 ATS in 47 games as an underdog. That is the best record of any current quarterback with at least 16 NFL starts.
Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts (41-28-1 ATS, 58.6 percent)
Andrew Luck hasn’t played ball in over a season. But when he plays healthy don’t bet against this franchise QB. The NFL betting spread analytics shows how valuable Luck is to the Colts. When he starts, Indianapolis covers nearly 60% of NFL betting spreads. Without Luck, the Colts are a measly 16-15-1 ATS. Luck is coming back from a shoulder injury and has been fully cleared for training camp.
Alex Smith, Washington Redskins (85-64-1 ATS, 56.3 percent)
Former top-pick in the 2005 NFL draft, Alex Smith has been labeled a game manager. Why? Because Aaron Rodgers was selected 25 picks later.
Playing in San Francisco and Kanas City, Smith has won games, covered NFL betting spreads and then been shipped off. He has a winning NFL ATS betting record in every possible situation. At home, on the road, as a favorite and as an underdog. Even though he has never had to win a game with just his arm alone, his 56.3% spread betting cover rate ranks 12th all-time in the Super Bowl era. That is only one spot behind the great Joe Theismann.
Bet These QBs ATS When They Don’t Face A Must Bet QB:
Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals (61-44-4 ATS, 56.0 percent)
Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers (79-61-2 ATS, 55.6 percent)
Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (53-41-2 ATS, 55.2 percent)
Dalton, Rogers, and Wilson will win against the NFL betting spread over 55% of the time. Talk to your financial advisor and he will tell you that’s a number you can take to the bank!
Bet These Quarterbacks ATS When The Betting Spread Is Right:
Newton, Ryan & Brees have all played in Super Bowl games with only Brees winning.
Newton has never had a top-tier receiver. Last season the Panthers drafted dynamic pass-catching rusher Christian McCaffrey to help the offense. Joining Newton and McCaffrey on offense this season is rookie WR DJ Moore out of Maryland. Moore isn’t built like a prototypical downfield pass catcher. At 6′ 0" and 210 pounds but he plays large. He will fight for every catch and has been likened to a more refined version of DeAndre Hopkins. That style should suit a strong-armed risk-taker like Cam Newton.
Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons (85-71-2 ATS, 53.8 percent)
Ryan was the 2016 MVP and is now the league’s highest-paid player after signing a five-year, $150 million extension that included $100 million guaranteed. Expect Ryan to take all the snaps, just like he did last season. Ryan is 33 years old has shown excellent durability, having not missed a game since turf toe sidelined him during the 2009 season. Ryan’s top target, Julio Jones, has declined to report to camp due to a contract issue.
Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints (133-108-7 ATS, 53.6 percent)
Drew Brees is an elite QB based on his stats alone. But teams that put up a lot of points quickly need a defense that can slow down opposing offenses. The Saints were missing that until last season when their 2017 draft class blew the roof off of the Superdome. I expect Brees and company to cover more spreads this season than ever before.
Cousins, now with the Vikings, was on a subpar Washington team that lacked talent and depth. In the offseason he signed a massive deal in Minnisota. At training camp, Cousins will have had about 3½ months to learn the Vikings’ playbook. That might slow him down early, but Minnesota is loaded with talent and depth at every skill position.
Hit & Miss ATS Quarterbacks:
Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers (103-92-3 ATS, 52.0 percent)
Eli Manning, New York Giants (110-102-2 ATS, 51.4 percent)
Why is Big Ben listed as a hit or miss ATS quarterback? His style of play. He will hold the ball longer than the average QB because of how big he is and how far he can throw the ball. That means sacks and turnovers which limit ball possession and fewer scoring drives.
Flip A Coin To Bet On Or Against These Quarterbacks:
Josh McCown, New York Jets (36-35-2 ATS, 49.3 percent)
Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (74-76-4 ATS, 48.1 percent)
Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans (20-21-1 ATS, 47.6 percent)
Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (56-61-2 ATS, 47.1 percent)
Money To Burn Quarterback Picks
Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (36-40-1 ATS, 46.8 percent)
The Ryan Tannehill led Dolphins are 12-20 ATS as a favorite. That’s the worst NFL ATS betting record of any current QB.
Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (20-24-1 ATS, 44.4 percent)
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been favored just 12 times when Jameis Winston starts. The Bucs are 3-9 ATS in those games. That makes Winston’s ATS betting record the worst in the league as a favorite of any starting QB.
Winston was suspended for the first three games of the regular season for violating the NFL’s personal conduct policy. The Bucs will play at New Orleans and at home against the Eagles and Steelers with backup Ryan Fitzpatrick starting. The Bucs almost certainly will be underdogs in those three games, and Fitzpatrick is 30-41-2 ATS as an underdog.
Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions (53-66-6 ATS, 42.4 percent)
Matthew Stafford is in rarified company joining six other QBs with at least 40 starts that have a losing ATS record. Stafford is a horrible ATS pick to win even especially as an underdog. The Lions are 23-35-2 ATS as an underdog with Stafford starting. That is the worst NFL ATS betting record of any current QB.
QBs With Not Enough Starts To Use Betting Analytics To Make Your ATS Picks:
Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs (1-0-0 ATS, 100 percent)
Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers (6-1-0 ATS, 85.7 percent)