It is NFL Draft week and you can bet the Over-Under on every top player’s draft position.
NFL Draft Position Over-Under Odds By Player
EDGE Chase Young: 2½
Former Ohio State superstar defensive end Chase Young is a generational talent that is almost universally regarded as the best overall player in this year’s draft. At 6-5, and 265 pounds, Young is a freakish athlete that can blow up offensive lines by bull-rushing interior offensive linemen or he can use his pure speed and athleticism to burn opposing tackles and take down the quarterbacks before they ever knew what hit them.
With former Carolina Panthers coach Ron Rivera taking over in the nation’s capital and looking to remake the Skins in his defensive-minded image, it’s a virtual lock that Washington will take Young with the second overall pick. Of course, Washington could pass on Young and try to land their quarterback of the future, but I think that scenario is unlikely, seeing as how young quarterback Dwayne Haskins has a ton of potential and Rivera brought in former Panthers signal-caller Kyle Allen, presumably to compete with him for the starting job. I just don’t see Rivera passing on a game-changing defensive talent like Young, who will start and make an impact right away as a rookie!
QB Tua Tagovailoa: 3½
The former Alabama star was largely expected to go to Miami with the fifth overall pick in the draft, but I don’t think that’s the case anymore. Reports say that the Fins are in love with former Oregon signal-caller Justin Herbert and now I think Miami will pass on Tua if he’s even on the board at No. 5. Right now, I believe one of the league’s most quarterback-needy teams could try to trade up with the Detroit Lions who own the third pick in the draft. The L.A. Chargers own the sixth pick in the draft and they should be looking to address their long-term needs under center. Jacksonville also needs a quarterback unless you believe they’re all in on Gardner Minshew after his fine rookie season. I’m going to say it probably a 50-50 cal on whether Tagovailoa goes before or after the third overall pick.
QB Justin Herbert: 5½
With the most recent draft rumors saying that Miami is locked in on Herbert with the fifth overall pick, I’m going on record right now to say that it’s a near-lock that he goes off the board before the sixth overall pick. While Herbert’s leadership skills and lack of intensity have been much bandied about this offseason, there’s no doubt that he’s supremely gifted. Standing 6-6 and weighing 237 pounds, Herbert has a strong arm and enough mobility to extend plays when he’s forced out of the pocket. He lit it up at the senior bowl and backed that performance up with another stellar showing at the NFL Combine. After Joe Burrow goes first, Herbert will go second at No. 5 if nobody jumps past Miami to land Tua Tagovailoa.
CB Jeff Okudah: 4½
Detroit owns the third pick in the draft and they’ve repeatedly been linked to former Ohio State cornerback Jeffrey Okudah. Now though, reports say the Lions are engaging in trade talks with teams that would like to move up to No. 3, most likely, to nab former Alabama signal-caller Tua Tagovailoa. I believe the NFC North cellar dwellers are going to pull the trigger on a trade in order to get a few more picks and improve their uninspiring roster. Detroit could probably land Okudah at No. 6 if they trade with the Chargers and I’m going to say there’s a high probability of that happening.
LB Isaiah Simmons: 7½
I love Isaiah Simmons’ sideline-to-sideline play-making abilities. With a unique blend of size and speed, the 6-4, 230-pound linebacker and former Clemson star can do it all. From covering tight ends and running backs out of the backfield to stuffing the run and taking down opposing quarterbacks, Simmons is almost literally all over the field. Simmons is a near-lock to go off the board inside the top seven picks. The Giants could easily select him at No. 4 to help improve a defense that finished 30th in points allowed last season (28.2 ppg). New York could also go for Iowa tackle Tristan Wirfs to protect franchise quarterback Daniel Jones. At worst, I suspect new Panthers head coach Matt Rhule will look to nab Simmons with the seventh overall pick.
DL Derrick Brown: 8½
Former Auburn defensive tackle Derrick Brown can run over, through or around opposing offensive linemen and that’s not something you see every day out of an interior defensive lineman. The massive, 6-5, 318-pounder has recorded an impressive 22 tackles for loss the last two seasons combined while adding 8.5 sacks and three forced fumbles. He could go to Carolina at No. 7, but if that doesn’t happen I suspect he’ll fall outside the top 10, possibly to Atlanta at No. 16 or Miami at No. 18, particularly seeing as how he had an uneven NFL combine performance.
OL Mekhi Becton: 8½
Louisville tackle Mekhi Becton could go 10th to Cleveland or possibly 14th to Tampa bay to help protect Tom Brady. The 6-7, 369-pound behemoth will either be the second or third offensive lineman off the board after Iowa’s Tristan Wirfs and possibly Alabama’s Jedrick Wills Jr., but he definitely won’t be going inside the top 10.
OL Andrew Thomas: 10½
6-5, 320-pound former Georgia tackle Andrew Thomas will be the fourth offensive lineman taken, possibly by Tampa Bay at No. 14 or Denver at No. 15.
OL Jedrick Wills: 8½
The 6-5, 320-pound Wills Jr. has risen up the draft boards recently to potentially overtake Louisville’s Mekhi Becton as the second offensive lineman to be picked in this year’s draft. Wills Jr. could end up in Cleveland at No. 10, or the New York Jets at No. 11 or possibly, Tampa Bay at No. 14, though it’s not expected that he’ll still be available then.
WR Jerry Jeudy: 11½
Former Alabama wide receiver Jerry Jeudy could be the first receiver taken in this year’s draft by Jacksonville at No. 9, though I think it’s far more likely that he’ll end up with either the Jets, Raiders or 49ers at 11, 12 and 13 respectively.
WR CeeDee Lamb: 12½
I’m expecting Lamb to be the first receiver taken in this year’s draft, like Jeudy, most likely at No. 11, 12 or 13, although the Jaguars aren’t out of the question at No. 8 if they really believe Gardner Minshew is the answer under center.
QB Jordan Love: 19½
I’ve watched a ton of tape on the 6-4, 225-pound Love and I can see why he’s being viewed as a player with immense potential. Love has a huge arm and great mobility. While he needs to improve his decision-making, Love could go anywhere from inside the top 10, to the middle of the draft or even fall into the 20s. Jacksonville could swing for the fences at No. 8 or hope that he’s still available at No. 20. Oakland could be looking for Derek Carr’s successor at No. 18 and New England could be looking for their heir apparent to Tom Brady at No. 23.
DL Javon Kinlaw: 15½
You might not know much about the 6-6, 310-pound former South Carolina star, but he’s a player that has Pro Bowl potential after racking up 15 tackles for loss and 10 sacks the last two seasons combined.
WR Henry Ruggs III: 13½
Ruggs III will be the third receiver taken in this year’s draft behind CeeDee Lamb and former Alabama teammate Jerry Jeudy. The 6-0 190-pound speedster will be the biggest target in round one if he slips past the teens.
CB CJ Henderson: 16½
The 5-1, 202-pound former Florida cornerback is a versatile defender in the secondary that can play both, cornerback or safety. He could go to Las Vegas at No. 12, Carolina at No. 14, Dallas at No. 17 or he could slip to San Francisco at No. 31.
EDGE K’Lavon Chaisson: 16½
The 6-4, 205-pound former LSU linebacker could end up in Atlanta at No. 16 or Seattle at No. 27.
LB Kenneth Murray: 19½
The 6-2, 234-pound Murray is one of several gifted linebackers in this year’s draft. Several mock drafts have the versatile defender being drafted by Jacksonville at No. 20, New Orleans at No. 24. or Baltimore at No. 28.
WR Justin Jefferson: 21½
6-3, 192-pound former LSU wide receiver Justin Jefferson is another player that has risen up on a lot of teams’ draft boards and for good reason. Jefferson has great size, speed, and hands. He could go to Denver at No. 15, Green Bay at No. 21 or Minnesota at No. 22.
CB Kristian Fulton: 24½
The 6-0, 200-pound former LSU cornerback won’t be picked before other corners like Jeffrey Okudah, C.J. Henderson and A.J. Terrell and most observers don’t expect him to be picked until the second round, possibly by Carolina with the 38th overall selection.
OL Josh Jones: 25½
6-2, 220-pound former Houston tackle Josh Jones has also risen up on a lot of draft boards lately. He’s now predicted to go anywhere between No. 26 to Miami or No. 33 to Cincinnati, although some draft pundits believe the Fins could try to nab the athletic offensive lineman as high as No. 18.
LB Patrick Queen: 25½
The 6-1, 227-pound former LSU linebacker has great burst and tackling ability. After racking up 85 tackles, 12 tackles for loss and three sacks a year ago, Queen could go to Philadelphia at No. 21, New Orleans at No. 24 or No. 28 to Baltimore.
S Xavier McKinney: 25½
6-1, 200-pound former Alabama safety Xavier McKinney is a versatile defender that can play close up to the line of scrimmage to stop the run or deeper in coverage as a safety to stop opposing receivers and tight ends. McKinney, who recorded a whopping 95 tackles, three interceptions and three safeties a year ago, could go to Dallas at No. 17, Miami at No. 18 or even New England at No. 23 in a worst case scenario.
EDGE Yetur Gross-Matos: 27½
The 6-5, 264-pound former Penn State defensive end had a whopping 14.5 tackles for loss last season while adding an impressive nine sacks for good measure. Gross-Matos could go as high as No. 17 to Dallas. Most draft experts, however, expect him to be picked somewhere in the mid-20s, possibly to Minnesota at No. 25 or Tennessee at No. 29.