Odds & Analysis UFC 249 Ferguson-Gaethje

Odds & Analysis UFC 249 Ferguson-Gaethje

Love him or hate him, Dana White is finally getting UFC 249 off the ground after failing to launch twice. Click here for updated UFC 249 odds. Last Friday the UFC announced that UFC 249 will take place on Saturday, May 9th at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida. And Dana White isn’t planning on disappointing. He has lined up a stacked card headlined by an interim lightweight title fight between Tony Ferguson and Justin Gaethje.

COVID-19 forced UFC 249 to be postponed twice. First with Khabib Nurmagomedov defending his lightweight title against Ferguson in Brooklyn. The second after Gaethje stepped in for Khabib UFC and the event was set for Lemoore, California. The state governor went above White’s head to Disney, ESPN’s parent company, and asked UFC 249 not to be broadcast.

Now with Florida starting to open up with the state governor’s blessing, there is little standing in the way of UFC 249. You can watch the main card via ESPN+ Pay-Per-View. The preliminaries will be on both ESPN and streamed on ESPN+.

UFC 249 Betting Odds & Analysis

Charles Rosa +155
Bryce Mitchell -175

33-year-old featherweight Charles Rosa (12-3) has won two of his last three and comes into this bout off a verbal submission (armbar) win over Manny Bermudez in October. 25-year-old Bryce Mitchell (12-0) remained unbeaten in a dozen bouts by putting away Matt Sayles via submission (twister) in December following a trio of decision wins.

Niko Price +240
Vicente Luque -280

30-year-old welterweight Niko Price (14-3, 1 NC) has alternated wins and losses over his last five fights but managed to put away James Vick via a stunning first-round KO (up kick) in October. 28-year-old Vicente Luque (17-7) will be looking to get back in the win column after having his impressive six-fight winning streak snapped in his unanimous decision loss against Stephen ‘Wonderboy’ Thompson in November.

Uriah Hall +110
Ronaldo Souza -130

No. 10 middleweight Uriah Hall (16-9) has won two straight including a split decision win over Antonio Carlos Junior in September. No. 14 middleweight Ronaldo Souza (26-8) has lost two straight and a discouraging four of his last six fights overall including a split decision loss against Jan Blachowicz in November.

Michelle Waterson +125
Carla Esparza -145

34-year-old former Invicta Atomweight champ Michelle Waterson (17-7) will be looking to get back in the win column after having her three-fight winning streak snapped in her unanimous decision loss against Joanna Jedrzejzcykinn October. 32-year-old Carla Esparza (15-6) won the inaugural UFC women’s strawweight title back in 2014 by beating Rose Namajunas. She’s won two straight including a majority decision win over Alexa Grasso in September.

Alexey Oleinik +260
Fabricio Werdum -320

No. 12 ranked heavyweight 42-year-old Alexey Oleinik (58-13-1) snapped a two-fight skid by getting past Maurice Greene via second-round submission (armbar) at UFC 246 in January. 42-year-old former heavyweight champ Fabricio Werdum (23-7-1) had his two-fight winning streak snapped in his fourth-round KO (punches) loss to Alexander Volkov in March of 2018.

Yorgan De Castro +155
Greg Hardy -175

Former NFL defensive lineman turned MMA fighter Greg Hardy (5-1-0, 1 NC) will be looking to get back in the win column following his third-round unanimous decision loss against Alexander Volkov in November. It was the 31-year-old Hardy’s second loss in eight career fights, though his first defeat came by way of DQ for an illegal knee. 32-year-old Yorgan De Castro (6-0) has had his meeting against Hardy canceled twice after beating Justin Tafa via first-round KO (punch) in October.

Donald Cerrone +110
Anthony Pettis -130

The preliminary bouts are headlined by a welterweight fight between Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone (36-14) and Anthony “Showtime” Pettis (22-10). The 36-year-old Cerrone is still the No. 6 ranked welterweight and he holds the UFC record for victories with 22. However, he’s also lost three straight fights in horrific fashion. First, he fell to Tony Ferguson via second-round TKO (punches) in June. Then, he suffered a first-round TKO (head kick and punches) against Justin Gaethje in September before getting destroyed by Conor McGregor via 40-second TKO (head kick and punches) at UFC 246 in January.

Former lightweight champion Anthony Pettis is 33-years-old and is also looking to rejuvenate his career after suffering two straight losses and three in his last four fights overall. Pettis was on the wrong end of a second-round submission (rear-naked choke) loss against Carlos Diego Ferreira in January.

Jeremy Stephens +210
Calvin Kattar -250

No. 7 ranked featherweight Jeremy Stephens (28-17) has lost three of his last four bouts with one no-contest along the way. He’s also lost five of his last eight overall including a third-round unanimous decision defeat against Yair Rodriguez in October. No. 9 ranked Calvin Kattar (20-4) has split his last four bouts and comes into this affair off a unanimous decision loss against Zabit Magomedsharipov in November. Prior to his last four bouts, Kattar won 10 straight from March of 2010 until April of 2018.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik +240
Francis N’Gannou -280

No. 4 ranked heavyweight Jairzinho Rozenstruik is making a name for himself. He’s 10-0 in his career and 4-0 in a quartet of UFC bouts. The 33-year-old from Suriname stands 6’2” with a 78-inch reach and comes into this bout off a thrilling fifth-round KO (punch) win over Alistair Overeem in December. No. 2 ranked heavyweight Francis Ngannou stands 6’4” with an 83-inch reach. The Cameroon native has won three straight fights including the first-round destruction of former heavyweight champ Junior dos Santos in June. Ngannou has won each of his last three bouts by way of first-round knockouts – and for comparison’s sake, he also beat Overeem in 2017 – by way of first-round KO.

Dominick Cruz +200
Henry Cejudo -240

The co-headline bout on the UFC 249 card is a bantamweight title fight between champion Henry Cejudo (15-2) and Dominick Cruz (22-2). The 35-year-old Cruz stands 5’8” with a 69-inch reach. He’s won eight fights via KO, one by way of submission and 13 via decision while suffering one submission loss and one by way of decision. Cruz had his 13-fight winning streak snapped in his unanimous decision loss to Cody Garbrandt at UFC 207 in December.

The 33-year-old Cejudo stands a modest 5’4” with a 64-inch reach. The champ has won seven bouts by way of KO and eight via decision while suffering one KO loss and one decision defeat. Cejudo has won five straight fights including a third-round TKO (punches) win over Marlon Moraes at UFC 238 in June.

Justin Gaethje +150
Tony Ferguson -170

The headline bout of UFC 249 is an interim lightweight championship fight between Tony Ferguson (25-3) and Justin Gaethje (21-2). The 31-year-old Gaethje stands 5’11” with a 70-inch reach. The No. 4 lightweight in the UFC rankings has recorded 18 wins via KO, one by way of submission and two via decision. He’s also suffered four KO losses, 2 by way of submission and one via decision. Gaethje comes into this bout riding the wave of a three-fight winning streak that includes a two of KO finishes including a first-round demolition of Donald ‘Cowboy’ Cerrone in September.

The 36-year-old Ferguson is the No. 1 ranked lightweight in the UFC rankings. He stands 5’11” with a 76½-inch reach. Ferguson has recorded a dozen wins by way of knockout, eight via submission and five via decision while suffering one submission loss and a pair of decision defeats. Ferguson has won 12 straight fights dating back to 2013 and comes into this bout off a second-round TKO (doctor stoppage) win over ‘Cowboy’ Cerrone in June.