UFC 251 Updated Odds & Fight Card

Whittaker vs Romero UFC 225 Odds & Analysis

Robert Whittaker battles Yoel Romero for the UFC Middleweight Championship on Saturday, June 9. The fight takes place at the United Center in Chicago, IL. The fights start at 10:00 pm ET.

Robert Whittaker is 20 and 4. Ten of his wins have come via KO or TKO. Yoel Romero is 13 and 2. Eleven of Romero’s wins have come via KO or TKO.

Whittaker vs Romero UFC 225 Odds & Analysis

5Dimes UFC oddsmakers have listed Robert Whittaker as a -250 favorite while Yoel Romero is a +210 underdog.

Bet on Whittaker -225 because…

Champion Robert Whittaker lands more significant strikes per minute than Yoel Romero. Whittaker lands 4.77 significant strikes per minute while Romero lands 3.06. Although Whittaker absorbs more strikes than Romero does per minute, the fact that he lands more could be what leads him to the win.

Bet on Romero +175 because…

Yoel Romero appears to have slightly more power with his strikes than Robert Whittaker. 85% of Romero’s wins have come via KO or TKO. That’s a huge percentage of wins via KO or TKO. The fact that most of Romero’s fights have been 3-Round battles means that it takes a relatively short time for Romero to knock out his opponents.

Whittaker vs Romero Analysis

Whittaker won the first battle between these two. Although Robert Whittaker out struck Yoel Romero 74 to 48, Romero took Whittaker down 4 times. Whittaker still beat Romero in UFC 213’s Fight of the Night via a 5-Round unanimous decision.

That was a year ago. Now, the two are at it again.  This time, Yoel Romero will be looking for a different outcome. Will he get it? That’s not likely. Romero looked great knocking out Luke Rockhold in Round 3 of his last fight.

Knocking out Rockhold is one thing. Knocking out the champ is another. The problem Romero has in this fight is that he already tried beating Whittaker via takedowns and a decent ground game.

If Yoel goes after Whittaker right away, that plays into Whittaker’s hands. If Romero tries the takedown approach, he’s going to fail again.