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2018 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds & Picks

AP’s Offensive Rookie of the Year award is the second most coveted NFL regular season individual award. In 2018 that may change. This season’s crop of offensive rookies is loaded with talent after a deep draft class. Now let’s take a closer look at 5Dimes’ AP Offensive ROY odds and a few picks that should be on your watch list.

AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds & Picks

  • Saquon Barkley +155
  • Baker Mayfield +550
  • Josh Rosen +950
  • Josh Allen +1250
  • Derrius Guice +1500
  • Rashaad Penny +1525
  • Sam Darnold +1550
  • Lamar Jackson +1750
  • Sony Michel +1925
  • Ronald Jones II +2125

The 5Dimes Oddsmakers Top Pick To Win Rookie Of The Year

Saquon Barkley, RB, Giants +155

Saquon Barkley (pictured) was drafted second overall and just inked a $31.2 million rookie deal making him one of the top paid rushers in the NFL.

Why is Barkley atop the NFL ROY sports betting board at +155? Why did the Giants make him one of the NFL’s top-paid running backs before ever taking an NFL snap?

Barkley racked up 1,903 total yards and 21 touchdowns as a junior at Penn State. He was also the only college player to carry the ball at least 200 times with 50 catches last year. Barkley is the most naturally talented runner from the 2018 draft. Combine that with 4.40 speed at 233 pounds and you have a top ROY candidate.

2018 NFL Rookie Of The Year Smart Picks

Derrius Guice, RB, Redskins +1500

Washington hasn’t had a reliable backfield since Clinton Portis. Can rookie Derrius Guice change the squad’s rushing fortunes and win ROY?

In college Guice took over a backfield left vacant the season before when Leonard Fournette jumped to the NFL. He tallied 3,074 career rushing yards and 29 rushing touchdowns on 471 carries. He finished his college career off with a 6.53 yards-per-carry average. That is second all-time in SEC history behind Auburn’s Bo Jackson (6.62).

Ronald Jones II, RB, Buccaneers +2125

QB Jamies Winston is suspended for the first three games of the season. There is no competition for the top rushing job in Tampa Bay. Mike Evans, DeSean Jackson, O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate line up out wide taking defenders out of the box. Add all that up and Ronald Jones will have a shot to succeed early in the season.

Nick Chubb, RB, Browns +3050

Nick Chubb is joining the most improved team in the NFL. Over the last three seasons, the Browns’ brain trust has added talent and depth at every position on both sides of the ball.

Cleveland’s off-season acquisition of Carlos Hyde allowed the Browns to pick Baker Mayfield and pass on Saquon Barkley at the top pick. Enter Chubb who was drafted 35th overall.

The rookie’s between-the-tackles rushing ability and his work ethic has impressed coaches. A breakout game during preseason could be enough to earn the rookie the lion’s share of carries come Week 1.

2018 NFL Rookie Of The Year Longshot Picks

Michael Gallup, WR, Cowboys +10000

Don’t sleep on Michael Gallup. He was drafted in the third round but has first-round talent. The rookie will benefit immensely by lining up across from Allen Hurns who will take the attention of the top corner. The box will be forced to focus on slowing down Ezekiel Elliott. That leaves Gallup facing little resistance.

Mike Gesicki, TE, Dolphins +12500

Can Mike Gesicki be the first tight end to Offensive Rookie of the Year since first awarded in 1967? At the combine he proved to be a imposing athlete. Gesicki tied for fastest 40-yard time among tight ends at 4.54. He was first in the bench press (23 reps), vertical jump (41.5 inches), broad jump (10-9), three-cone drill (6.72), 20-yard shuttle (4.10), and 60-yard shuttle (11.33).

There’s more. His 129 career college catches ranked first in Penn State history among tight ends, ninth overall. Gesicki also set a Penn State tight end record with 1,481 career receiving yards. That put him at 17th overall in school history.

2018 NFL Rookie Of The Year Sucker Picks

Is there a Dak Prescott, Cam Newton, Matt Ryan or Ben Roethlisberger in the 2018 NFL draft class?

Baker Mayfield, QB, Browns +550

Slightly undersized, the Oklahoma selection won’t see the field Week 1. Tyrod Taylor will have the starting duties. I don’t see Mayfield starting until 2019.

Josh Rosen, QB, Cardinals +950

Arizona signed both Sam Bradford and Mike Glennon this offseason. Neither is an elite talent at their position but both have started in the NFL.

Can Rosen get on the field? Preseason will tell us a lot. Historically Bradford has been injury prone. Glennon was unseated by rookie Mitch Trubisky in Chicago last year.

Josh Allen, QB, Bills +1250

Allen could start Week 1 for the Bills with only Nathan Peterman and A.J. McCarron challenging the rookie. Buffalo has bled talent over the past few seasons and need a big-time playmaker to take charge.

Sam Darnold, QB, Jets +1550

The Jets finally have a franchise QB. Their first since Joe Namath. But Darnold will have to learn from the sidelines in 2018. Josh McCown and Teddy Bridgewater are ahead of the rookie on the depth chart. Head coach Todd Bowles has stated that each player will have their shot at winning the starting job.

Lamar Jackson +1750

The Ravens traded up to get Jackson in the first round. That should tell you everything you need to know. But what about Joe Flacco? The Super Bowl winning QB has slipped in the past few seasons. A few bad games will open the door for the rookie to showcase his Heisman winning talents.

The Complete AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds List

  • Saquon Barkley +155
  • Baker Mayfield +550
  • Josh Rosen +950
  • Josh Allen +1250
  • Derrius Guice +1500
  • Rashaad Penny +1525
  • Sam Darnold +1550
  • Lamar Jackson +1750
  • Sony Michel +1925
  • Ronald Jones II +2125
  • DJ Moore +3000
  • Calvin Ridley +3000
  • Nick Chubb +3050
  • Royce Freeman +3250
  • Courtland Sutton +4750
  • James Washington +5200
  • Christian Kirk +5500
  • Kerryon Johnson +5550
  • Anthony Miller +6000
  • Braxton Berrios +6500
  • DJ Chark +7250
  • Nyheim Hines +9500
  • Michael Gallup +10000
  • Mark Walton +10000
  • Dallas Goedert +10000
  • Dante Pettis +10000
  • Antonio Callaway +10000
  • Mason Rudolph +11000
  • Kalen Ballage +11000
  • Mike Gesicki +12500
  • DaeSean Hamilton +12500
  • Hayden Hurst +12750
  • Keke Coutee +13500
  • J’Mon Moore +13500
  • Chase Edmonds +14000
  • Quenton Nelson +16000
  • Kolton Miller +21250
  • Kyle Lauletta +21500
  • Mike McGlinchey +23500
  • Isaiah Wynn +23750
  • Frank Ragnow +24500
  • Billy Price +26250
  • Ito Smith +31500