The 2019 Kentucky Derby is quickly approaching. The first Triple Crown race is set to go down on Saturday, May 4th with a post time of 6:50 PM ET. Click here for live Kentucky Derby odds.
Early Kentucky Derby Betting Odds, Betting Favorite, Value Bet & Long Shot Pick
2019 Kentucky Derby Odds
- Omaha Beach +500
- Roadster/Game Winner +600
- Improbable +800
- Maximum Security +1000
- Tacitus +1200
- Vekoma +1300
- Code of Honor +1600
- Instagrand +2000
- Cutting Humor/By My Standards/Tax/Win Win Win +2500
- Haikal +2800
- Plus Que Parfait +3000
- Spinoff /War of Will/Long Range Toddy +3300
- Anothertwistafate/Country House +4500
- Bourbon War/Signalman +6000
- Sueno +6500
The Kentucky Derby Odds-On Betting Favorite: Omaha Beach +500
Since breaking his maiden at 7 furlongs over a sloppy Santa Anita racetrack in February, this War Front sired colt has blossomed. Omaha Beach held off the Bob Baffert trained Game Winner to win the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes in March. He won the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby by holding off another Baffert trained horse, Improbable.
Omaha Beach has excellent cruising speed which makes him a legit favorite to win the Run for the Roses. There are a few knocks, though. Trainer Richard Mandella is a hall of famer, but he’s never saddled a Derby winner. Not only that, Omaha Beach could bounce after running the two fastest races of his life in his last two. Some things to like and some things to dislike makes him an underlay at +500.
The Kentucky Derby Value Bet: Maximum Security +1000
The Florida Derby winner is undefeated in 4 starts. Most who believe he doesn’t have a chance will point to how he ran in a $16,000 maiden claimer back in December. Trainer Jason Servis didn’t know what he had. In the mornings, Maximum Security hadn’t been training well at all. So, Servis decided to see if anybody might take Maximum Security off his hands.
The colt seemed to figure things out during the maiden win, though. He took the lead and then shook free for a close to 10 length score. In his second race, an option claimer at $50,000, he tracked the speed before taking over and running off for a 6 ½ length win. He won his next race, another optional claimer at $50,000, by 16 lengths.
Maximum Security isn’t a one-dimensional speedball. He relaxes beautifully behind horses before getting his cue to go. The Servis trainer is the real deal.
Kentucky Derby Long Shot Pick: Spinoff +3000
Spinoff allowed By My Standards to run up the rail in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby and beat him, but there’s a lot to like about the Todd Pletcher trainee. The La Derby was only his fourth-lifetime race. He’s also worked a bullet since and should have learned a lot after the loss.
Pletcher’s won the Derby twice while Spinoff has enough speed to be in contention early. He also showed a closing kick in the Louisiana Derby. This +3000 longshot will have a say in the outcome.