Men’s Australian Open Odds & Analysis

Men’s Australian Open Odds & Analysis

The 2020 Australian Open marks the start of the tennis grand slam season. Which top tennis stars do you need to keep an eye on? Keep reading to find out.

Men’s Australian Open Odds & Analysis

Novak Djokovic +135

The world No. 2 and reigning Aussie Open champ has won this event seven times. Djokovic went 57-11 last year with five titles, including his fifth Wimbledon title. Djokovic is 68-8 all-time Down Under and my top pick to get it done here – again!

Rafael Nadal +450

The incomparable world No. 1 may be the top seed in this year’s Australian Open, but he’s not the favorite at +450 and nor should he be despite going a stupendous 58-7 last year with four titles including wins at the French and U.S. Opens. Rafa has won the Aussie Open title just once in his career (2009) and although he’s reached two of the last three finals, I don’t see it happening for Rafa who suffered a pair of losses to David Goffin and Novak Djokovic in the recently completed ATP Cup.

Daniil Medvedev +800

The blossoming 23-year-old Russian went a stellar 59-21 last year with four titles while reaching six straight finals and bagging two Masters titles along the way. After nearly upsetting Nadal in the 2019 U.S. Open, I believe the cerebral Medvedev is a grand slam champion just waiting to happen.

Roger Federer +1100

The legendary Federer went a stupendous 53-10 last year with four titles. While the sweet-swinging Swiss got dispatched in the fourth round a year ago, Federer won back-to-back Down under in 2017 and 2018. In 16 appearances since 2004, Federer has six wins, one finals loss and six appearances in the semis. That kind of consistency makes Fed my No. 2 pick to get it done!

Stefanos Tsitsipas +1200

The rising 21-year-old Greek star looks quite dangerous entering this year’s Aussie Open. Tsitsipas went a stellar 54-25 last year with three titles. More importantly, Tsitsipas comes into this year’s Aussie with some newfound confidence after beating Zverev, Medvedev, Federer and Thiem in the season-ending Nitto ATP Finals and reaching the semis at last year’s Australian Open.

Dominic Thiem +1800

The 26-year-old Austrian went 49-19 a year ago with five titles. While Thiem beat Federer, Djokovic and Alex Zverev at the season-ending ATP Finals before losing to eventual champ Stefanos Tsitsipas, he’s never fared well in Australia. Thiem got knocked out in the second round a year ago and has never made it past his fourth round appearance in 2017.

Nick Kyrgios +2800

The 24-year-old Australian is one of the most talented – and immature – players on the ATP World Tour. Kyrgios was knocked out of the 2019 Aussie Open in the first round and has never improved on the quarterfinal appearance he made in 2015. Save your betting bucks on Kyrgios if he does manage to reach the later rounds.

Alexander Zverev +5000

Zverev looked like a guy ready to make the slam breakthrough two years ago and although that still hasn’t happened, the young German definitely has the game and skill set to make it happen. Zverev went 44-25 last year with one title, but he did beat Nadal and Medvedev in the ATP Finals, so there’s some hope, although he’s never made it past the fourth round in Australia.

  • Denis Shapovalov +5000

Karen Khachanov +6600

While the powerful 23-year-old Russian went a modest 30-29 last year, he also reached the third round in Australia and the quarters at the French Open. Just based on pure power, Kachanov will have a great chance to upset at least one big name!

  • Alex De Minaur +6600

Roberto Bautista-Agut +6600

I like the highly skilled Bautista-Agut, but the 31-year-old just doesn’t have the firepower necessary to dispatch any of the prime time players that are seeded above him. The sweet-swinging Spaniard has never made it past the quarterfinal appearance he made last year and almost certainly won’t again this year.

Stan Wawrinka +6600

The 34-year-old Wawrinka battled his way back into the mix of elite players a year ago by going 33-19. Although the powerful Swiss star failed to win a title, Wawrinka did win it all Down Under in 2014 while making a pair of semifinal appearances in 2015 and 2017. The Stanimal has the firepower to blast anyone off the court and he’ll be motivated to get it done after two straight second round ousters.

Matteo Berrettini +8000

The 23-year-old Italian came on strong in 2019 to become a top 10 player after going 43-25 last year. Berrettini is a big dude (6-5) with a bunch of power and he recorded some quality wins over guys like Dominic Thiem, Karen Kachanov, Nick Krygios and Grigor Dimitrov among others. Still, Berrettini looks like a player that at least another year away from contending for a grand slam.

  • Grigor Dimitrov +8000
  • Andrey Rublev +8000

David Goffin +10000

If you like tennis, then you’ve got to love the efficient 29-year-old David Goffin. While Goffin went a modest 36-27 last year with no titles, he’s also recorded wins over Grigor Dimitrov and Rafael Nadal this year. Goffin reached the quarters in Australia in 2017 and could very well get at least that far again in 2020 while upsetting a top seeded player or two along the way.

Jannik Sinner +10000

If you’re not an avid tennis follower, then you might not know who the 18-year-old Sinner is, but I’m here to say that this kid is dangerous with a capital D. Sinner beat all comers in the field in last year’s NextGen ATP Finals and clearly has a maturation that is far ahead of his tender age. After climbing a whopping 450 spots in 2019, Sinner became the youngest player to finish the year in the top 80 since Rafael Nadal in 2003.

Gael Monfils +12500

The 33-year-old Frenchman is undeniable the game’s most entertaining player, but Monfils has never made it past the quarterfinal round in Australia. Monfils has been bounced in the second round in each of the last two years, making him a player that you should save your money on.

  • Marin Cilic +12500
  • Milos Raonic +12500
  • Felix Auger-Aliassime +15000
  • Diego Schwartzman +15000
  • Fabio Fognini +20000
  • Pablo Carreno Busta +20000
  • Borna Coric +20000
  • John Isner +20000
  • Kyle Edmund +25000
  • Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +25000
  • Hubert Hurkacz +30000
  • Guido Pella +30000
  • Kamil Majchrzak +30000
  • Jeremy Chardy +40000
  • Cameron Norrie +40000
  • Frances Tiafoe +40000
  • Taylor Fritz +50000
  • John Millman +50000
  • Philipp Kohlschreiber +50000
  • Dusan Lajovic +50000
  • Tatsuma Ito +50000
  • Mackenzie McDonald +50000
  • Cedrik-Marcel Stebe +50000
  • Marcos Giron +50000
  • Lloyd Harris +50000
  • Yuichi Sugita +50000
  • James Duckworth +50000
  • Steve Johnson +50000
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili +50000
  • Marton Fucsovics +50000
  • Benoit Paire +50000
  • John-Patrick Smith +50000
  • Vasek Pospisil +50000
  • Alexander Bublik +50000
  • Yen-Hsun Lu +75000
  • Marc Polmans +100000
  • Alex Bolt +100000
  • Andrew Harris +100000
  • Christopher O’Connell +100000
  • Gilles Simon +100000
  • Michael Mmoh +100000
  • Hugo Gaston +100000